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The burden of road traffic crashes, injuries and deaths in Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis

机译:非洲道路交通事故,伤亡的负担: 系统评价和荟萃分析

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摘要

Objective To estimate the burden of road traffic injuries and deaths for all road users and among different road user groups in Africa.Methods We searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Global Health, Google Scholar, websites of African road safety agencies and organizations forregistry- and population-based studies and reports on road traffic injury and death estimates in Africa, published between 1980 and 2015.Available data for all road users and by road user group were extracted and analysed. We conducted a random-effects meta-analysis andestimated pooled rates of road traffic injuries and deaths.Findings We identified 39 studies from 15 African countries. The estimated pooled rate for road traffic injury was 65.2 per 100000 population(95% confidence interval, CI: 60.8–69.5) and the death rate was 16.6 per 100 000 population (95% CI: 15.2–18.0). Road traffic injury ratesincreased from 40.7 per 100 000 population in the 1990s to 92.9 per 100 000 population between 2010 and 2015, while death rates decreasedfrom 19.9 per 100 000 population in the 1990s to 9.3 per 100 000 population between 2010 and 2015. The highest road traffic death ratewas among motorized four-wheeler occupants at 5.9 per 100 000 population (95% CI: 4.4–7.4), closely followed by pedestrians at 3.4 per100 000 population (95% CI: 2.5–4.2).Conclusion The burden of road traffic injury and death is high in Africa. Since registry-based reports underestimate the burden, a systematiccollation of road traffic injury and death data is needed to determine the true burden.
机译:目的估算非洲所有道路使用者和不同道路使用者群体之间道路交通伤害和死亡的负担。方法我们在MEDLINE,EMBASE,Global Health,Google Scholar,非洲道路安全机构和组织的网站中搜索了注册表和人口基于1980年至2015年间发表的有关非洲道路交通伤害和死亡估计的研究和报告,并提取并分析了所有道路使用者和道路使用者群体的可用数据。我们进行了一项随机效应荟萃分析,并估算了道路交通伤害和死亡的综合发生率。发现我们从15个非洲国家中鉴定了39项研究。估计的道路交通伤害综合发生率为每100000人口65.2(95%置信区间,CI:60.8–69.5),死亡率为每10万人口16.6(95%CI:15.2–18.0)。道路交通伤害率从1990年代的40.7%/每十万人口增加到2010年至2015年的92.9 /每十万人口,而死亡率则从1990年代的每十万人口的19.9每十万人口减少到2010-2015年的9.3。机动四轮车乘客的交通死亡率为每10万人5.9(95%CI:4.4–7.4),紧随其后的是行人死亡率为每10万人3.4(95%CI:2.5–4.2)。结论道路交通负担非洲的伤亡人数很高。由于基于注册表的报告低估了负担,因此需要对道路交通伤害和死亡数据进行系统的整理以确定真正的负担。

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    Thompson, J;

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